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Severe Weather Blog: Week of 4/26/09 - Part 2

By: Keith Cavey
Updated: Sun 10:21 PM, May 03, 2009

Last Update: 7:00 am Sunday, 5/02

7:00 am Sunday

All watches and warnings for Central Texas have either been cancelled or expired. We may still see some isolated showers east of Interstate 35 through the mid- to late-morning hours, after which we expect the rain to move completely out of Central Texas.

It's been a long morning for us in the Doppler 10 Live Forecast Center, and I'm sure it's been a long morning for some of you, who undoubtedly got an early wake-up call when the thunderstorms arrived in your area. Aside from the report of damage early this morning in Hubbard (traffic poles down at the intersection of SH-31 & SH-171), we haven't heard about any widespread wind-related damage in our area. So despite the stormy weather this morning, it seems that we indeed may have "dodged the bullet" here in Central Texas... especially when compared to the reports of flooding and wind damage from yesterday's storms in the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex.

I'm outta here to get some much-needed sleep... a big thanks to Brady Taylor for helping me to keep this blog updated throughout morning, and to Brian McKinney who directed all of our early-morning cut-ins. Please let me know how much rain you received this morning by leaving a comment at the bottom of this blog! -KC


5:35 am Sunday

Here is a quick radar update... Strong to Severe Thunderstorms continue across our eastern counties

5:20 am Sunday

A large area of the eastern portion of Central Texas is under a new Severe Thunderstorm Warning.  This warning includes portions of Falls, Freestone, Leon, Limestone, and Milam

Click HERE for a live look at Doppler 10 Radar

4:55 am Sunday

Quick radar update... some strong thunderstorm activity moving across the Temple area...

4:40 am Sunday

Strong storms moving across the IH-35 corridor early this morning.  These storms are not severe, but they are producing frequent cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and some small hail.

 

4:30 am Sunday

Here is a quick radar update as the storms move into the Waco Metro area...

 

4:20 am Sunday

Strong storms now moving into the western portions of McLennan County and Bell County.  These storms are currently not severe but they are likely producing frequent cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds to 50 mph, and some small hail

4:00 am Sunday

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lampasas County until 4:45am... Here is a look at the radar as of 3:55

Strong Thunderstorm Actitivy moving across much of the western portions of Central Texas, with more warnings likely.

3:20 am Sunday

Here's a look at Doppler 10:

The strongest storms are currently lined up from near San Saba to Priddy, moving east at 40 mph. These storms could produce some hail up to nickel size and wind gusts up to 60 mph. Additional thunderstorms have developed in eastern Hamilton and Bosque counties. Those storms are moving ENE at 40 mph and are producing heavy rain, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, some pea size hail, and wind gusts up to 45 mph.

Despite my earlier hope that we might dodge the thunderstorms, it looks like it will be a fairly busy (and noisy) Sunday morning here in Central Texas. The Storm Prediction Center says it may issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for parts of our area, but they haven't decided yet.


3:05 am Sunday

The National Weather Service just issued a new Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Mills County until 4:00.

There are actually several storms, stretching from near Priddy to San Saba, that are producing heavy rain, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and some hail up to quarter size. Wind gusts up to 60 mph will also be possible as these storms move east at 40 mph.

Additional thunderstorms are also developing in Hamilton and Bosque counties. We'll be going on the air shortly with an update...


2:55 am Sunday

Things are starting to get more active here in Central Texas:

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning was issued a while ago for a pair of storms producing gusty winds and hail up to quarter size. This storm is moving east at 40 mph, toward the city of Goldthwaite.

There are some other storms trying to get organized in Hamilton and Erath counties. If these storms continue to develop, they will also be capable of producing gusty winds and some small hail.


1:15 am Sunday

Just after making my last update, the rain increased in both coverage and intensity south of IH-20 between Abilene and San Angelo. There's still no severe weather indicated on radar, but it's possible that some of these storms could produce some gusty winds and pea-size hail as they move east at 40 mph toward Central Texas.

Unless the storms begin building further south, it looks like this batch of rain will affect areas mainly along and north of US Highway 84, meaning that the Temple and Killeen area might miss out on the rain entirely! At its present speed, this rain will arrive in Gatesville by 3:00 am, and in Waco by 4:00 am.

12:30 am Sunday

(Okay, technically it's no longer the week of 4/26, but I'm not about to start another blog post!)

We're still watching this area of showers with a few embedded thunderstorms to our west near Abilene and San Angelo:

The coverage of rain south of Interstate 20 is not nearly as great as suggested by the above radar image; the composite of several nearby weather service radars tends to exaggerate the region of light to moderate rain indicated by the shades of green. It still looks like most of the heavy rain will stay along and north of IH-20, and if our most recent computer model is to be believed, the complex may weaken and die out completely before reaching Central Texas. I'm not sure that will be the case - I think we at least have some chance to see rain and some flashes of lightning here before sunrise - but it doesn't look like this complex will produce any severe weather.


11:45 pm Saturday

If you watched 10 @ Ten or follow us on Twitter, you know we're cautiously optimistic that Central Texas may make it through this severe weather event relatively unscathed. The latest statewide view of NEXRAD Radar shows stormy weather continuing across Northeast Texas, and a new batch of showers and thunderstorms west of Abilene along and north of Interstate 20:

That batch of storms is expected to continue moving east along Interstate 20, which means most of that rain will likely stay to our north. There is still a chance that some additional thunderstorms may develop in our area early this Sunday morning, but the odds of us having severe weather are steadily decreasing. We any rain to depart our area by noon, giving us a chance to dry out early this week!

In case you missed it earlier, here's a link to the National Weather Service's report on the damage done to the Dallas Cowboys practice facility in Valley Ranch (on north side of Irving). News 10 has learned that at least a dozen people were injured when 60 to 70 mph winds caused the protective bubble over the field to collapse around 3:30 pm. Fortunately, none of those injuries were believed to be life-threatening. It's easy to forget that straight-line winds can sometimes do more damage than a tornado, but today's incident in the Dallas area should be proof of that fact!


9:40 pm Saturday

Busy making substantial changes to the forecast... with the cold front moving through and the cap still firmly in place across south-central Texas, it's now looking a lot less likely that we'll have widespread thunderstorms across our area tonight and tomorrow morning. I'm busy preparing for the newscast, so I don't have time to go into the specifics. For more details, tune in to watch 10 @ Ten!


9:20 pm Saturday

Here's another radar update:

The storm that prompted the severe thunderstorm warning for Hill County is now moving northeast into Ellis County, and the other storms in Hill and Bosque County have weakened quickly. For those reasons, I expect the warning for Hill County to be cancelled prior to its scheduled 9:45 expiration.

There are a few showers developing west of Waco in McLennan County, but so far that activity is very weak. It's also occurring in somewhat cooler, more stable air behind the cold front... Waco's temperature is down to 67 degrees!


9:10 pm Saturday

Here's a quick radar update. Most of the stormy weather is located over Bosque and Hill counties right now. Showers have had trouble forming south of US-84...

The strongest storm (the one possibly producing quarter-size hail) is about to move out of Hill County and into Ellis County around Italy and Milford. The storms near Hillsboro and Clifton are producing heavy rain and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, but nothing more than some small, pea-size hail right now. However, the storm in Bosque County does appear to be strengthening as it moves toward Lake Whitney...


9:05 pm Saturday

New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Hill and Ellis counties until 9:45 pm. There's a strong thunderstorm near the IH-35 split producing some quarter size hail, moving northeast at 35 mph. That storm will likely exit Hill County by 9:20, but there are some additional, weaker thunderstorms lined up from Hillsboro southwest to Clifton that will produce additional heavy rain after the first storm moves out.


8:55 pm Saturday

More thunderstorms have recently developed across parts of Hill County. There are no severe thunderstorm warnings at this time, but a few of these storms could produce some small hail and gusty winds as they move northeast at 35 mph.


8:40 pm Saturday

We're watching a pair of strong thunderstorms near the Coryell/Hamilton/Bosque county line that are producing heavy rain, cloud-to-ground lightning, small hail, and gusty winds as they move north at 30 mph.

The increase in the coverage of showers in our area is likely related to the slow southward advance of the cold front. Waco's temperature recently dropped to 72 degrees with a 10 mph north wind.


8:15 pm Saturday

Showers continue to develop across parts of Lampasas, Coryell, Hamilton, Bosque, and Hill counties, and we've just seen our first flashes of lightning from the cells west and northwest of Gatesville. These storms are MUCH weaker than the storms that brought severe weather to parts of North Texas earlier today, but we'll continue to watch the radar closely ast they move northeast at 30-35 mph.


7:55 pm Saturday

We've seen a few showers develop in western Coryell County, but that activity looks very weak. We're watching the radar closely.

The Storm Prediction Center just issued an update to its severe weather outlook for this evening and tonight. They believe isolated thunderstorms will develop along that slow, southward-moving cold front late this evening, a few of which could become severe. I'll post a more complete update in a few minutes...


6:50 pm Saturday

Things are still quiet right now in Central Texas. We're seeing a few weak radar echoes to our southwest across Burnet and Blanco counties, west of Austin. So far nothing's been able to hold together, but we're watching that area very closely.

Again, the only Tornado Watch in place across Central Texas includes just Hill and Navarro counties until midnight... but that doesn't mean the severe weather threat is over for the rest of our area. Additional watches will likely be issued later this evening.

Also, some news out of Dallas area: the National Weather Service has confirmed that 65-70 mph straight line winds caused the collapse of the "bubble" at that Dallas Cowboys practice facility in Valley Ranch. We're hearing now that at least a dozen people were injured, including the Cowboys' special teams coach.


6:10 pm Saturday

There was a bit of confusion about the Tornado Watch alignment from the National Weather Service. They HAVE cancelled the existing Tornado Watch for most of our viewing area, and have issued a new watch for north-central and northeast Texas until midnight tonight. In our area, that new watch includes Hill and Navarro counties. More details to follow shortly...


6:05 pm Saturday

The Storm Prediction Center just issued a new Tornado Watch that will include Hill and Navarro counties until midnight. The existing Tornado Watch that covers much of the rest of Central Texas will be allowed to expire at 7 pm, but we expect another Tornado Watch or Severe Thunderstorm Watch to be issued for the rest of our area later this evening.

The Severe Thunderstorm Warning for northernmost Bosque County was allowed to expire on-time; the storms stayed just to the north of Bosque County and continue moving to the northeast. Another round of very strong thunderstorms is moving through the DFW area, producing more heavy rain, hail, and damaging winds. Flash Flood Warnings have been issued for both Tarrant and Dallas counties.


5:35 pm Saturday

A new, smaller storm has developed near Hico, also moving NE at 50 mph. This storm will bear watching as it rides along the northern border of Bosque County.

5:12 pm Saturday

We're watching two storms now: one just SE of Stephenville, and another between Glen Rose and Granbury. If these storms keep their present motion (NE at 50 mph), it looks like they will miss northern Bosque County. We've heard reports of hail up to half dollar size with these storms, so we'll continue to watch them closely!

4:55 pm Saturday

Severe Thunderstorm Warning was just issued for extreme northern Bosque County, including the city of Walnut Springs, until 6:00 pm. The warning does NOT include Meridian or Clifton. We're watching a storm in central Erath County that's producing quarter size hail and wind gusts over 60 mph as it moves ENE at 50 mph!


4:35 pm Saturday

We have been able to confirm that at least four people were injured when high winds caused the roof to collapse at a Dallas Cowboys practice facility in Valley Ranch. Raw video of the damage is being posted to our homepage...


4:10 pm Saturday

For now, the radar picture is quiet here in Central Texas. That's not the case to our north, where there have already been several reports of hail, high winds, and even a possible tornado. Our newsroom is checking reports of damage to the roof of the Cowboys practice facility in Valley Ranch.

The cold front has made some southward progress in the Hill Country, but continues to remain stalled out across our northwestern counties (from San Saba to near Meridian):

We're closely watching the area around Burnet and Llano, which is where we think there's a potential for thunderstorms to develop within the next couple of hours. Again, conditions are such that any storms that develop will have the potential to become severe very quickly as they move northeast.


3:30 pm Saturday

I've just looked at our two most recent computer models. Both keep us thunderstorm-free through the early evening before bringing us several rounds of storms during the late evening and overnight hours. That seems to be a plausible scenario. The cap is holding right now, and with the cold front stalled in our northwestern counties, it's possible that the cap won't break at all this afternoon. If that happens, we likely won't see rain in our area until the cold front begins making more southward progress after sunset tonight.

That's just one possible scenario. There's still a chance that thunderstorms will develop in our area this afternoon, and any storms that develop would likely become severe. For that reason, a Tornado Watch remains in effect for most of our viewing area until 7 pm.


3:15 pm Saturday

The cold front has made very little southward progress, as evidenced by temperatures from the top of the hour:

Right now, thunderstorms are pounding the DFW metroplex with heavy rain, gusty winds, and hail. We'll likely start seeing more thunderstorms here in our area within the next couple of hours!


2:30 pm Saturday

Right now, most of the thunderstorms are developing along a cold front draped across our northwestern counties:

This cold front will continue moving slowly south through Central Texas over the next several hours, bringing those thunderstorms closer to the Waco/Temple/Killeen area.


2:15 pm Saturday

Here's a look at the new Tornado Watch that covers most of Central Texas until 7 pm:

As you can see, there are currently no warnings in the KWTX viewing area. Except for a few storms up to our north, the radar is fairly quiet right now. That's likely to change over the next few hours...


1:35 pm Saturday

Minutes ago, the Storm Prediction Center issued a discussion which says it will likely issue a Tornado Watch for part or all of Central Texas within the next hour. We'll update this blog if and when that watch is issued...


1:30 pm Saturday

As expected, most of the stormy weather is currently to our north and northeast, focused along a slowly-moving cold front. A Tornado Watch includes northeast Texas until 7 pm. We expect things to get more active here in Central Texas within the next few hours... keep checking back here for the latest!


2:00 am Saturday

We saw a number of big thunderstorms in Northwest Texas last night, including one that produced softball size hail and a couple of tornadoes about 45 miles north of Abilene! The rain all stayed north of Interstate 20 thanks to the "cap" - a layer of warm air aloft that inhibits thunderstorm development. That cap should remain in place this morning, which means we should stay rain-free through at least the noon hour. But this afternoon, as more warm, unstable air builds into our region ahead of an advancing cold front, we expect that cap will weaken and eventually break, allowing thunderstorms to develop across parts of Central Texas.

The precise timing and location of the storms are still uncertain... but given the high degree of instability and wind shear in our atmosphere, any storms that develop in our area could become severe. Here's today's severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

Although the outlook is technically valid from 7:00 this morning until 7:00 Sunday morning, we expect the best chance for severe thunderstorms in our area will come late this afternoon and this evening. In its early-morning discussion, the Storm Prediction Center specifically mentions the possibility for discrete, supercell-type thunderstorms in our area, which means we could see some large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes.

The good news is that the severe weather threat doesn't look nearly as great across our area on Sunday:

Although it appears the greatest risk for severe weather will stay to our east on Sunday, we'll likely still have rain and a few thunderstorms in our area. Perhaps of greater concern will be the potential for flooding, especially east of Interstate 35. We'll be watching that situation closely throughout the weekend.

The Storm Prediction Center will continue to refine its severe weather outlook throughout the day, and we'll be keeping our forecast updated as well. Keep checking back here for the very latest!


6:45 pm Friday:

We've seen some big storms this afternoon and early evening in Northwest Texas, including a monster storm that produced at least one tornado and reports of softball size hail north of Abilene near the town of Sagerton. That storm is now much weaker, and is currently moving east-southeast through Shackelford County. Another storm is moving south-southeast toward Throckmorton and could produce some quarter size hail. A Tornado Watch continues for Northwest Texas and southern Oklahoma until 10:00 pm.

Fortunately, it looks like this activity should all stay to our north tonight. However, as we've been telling you, that likely won't be the case this weekend. The Storm Prediction Center will release updated severe weather outlooks for Saturday and Sunday late tonight (around 1:00 am Saturday); we'll be updating this blog shortly thereafter! -KC


3:30 pm Friday:

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Texas and Southern and Central Oklahoma until 10 pm tonight. The watch does NOT include any of the News10 counties. Storms developing in the watch area at this time will tend to move east-southeast and may approach the IH-20 corridor west of Fort Worth by mid to late evening. -LC


1:30 pm Friday:

Thank to Lon Curtis for helping me keep this blog updated. Here are the latest severe weather outlooks for today, tomorrow, and Sunday:

It looks like the next 48-72 hours will be very busy here in the Doppler 10 Live Forecast Center. We'll continue to bring you updates on the air and online! -KC


12:45 pm Friday:

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has expanded the threat area in which there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms through 7 am Saturday so that the many of the northern News10 counties are included. The slight risk area as configured now includes the area along and north of US-84 from Mexia to Waco to Goldthwaite. Areas south of that highway are not included. Based on the computer models available to us at this time, it looks like we will remain "capped" through the afternoon hours, with a chance for some thunderstorms spreading northwest to southeast into the slight risk area this evening. A "cap" is a layer of warm air aloft (usually 1 to 2 miles above the ground) that acts as a lid to prevent storm development.  Over areas well northwest of Central Texas, the cap is expected to erode this afternoon, allowing explosive storm development. The Storm Prediction Center has placed a moderate risk of severe storms over the counties north of IH-20 from Fort Worth ot Abilene, and west of IH-35 from Fort Worth to Gainesville. In the moderate risk area, the SPC mentions the possibility of hail larger than baseballs, along with damaging winds and a few tornadoes. This situation is still evolving, so check back every hour or two this afternoon and I'll have updates as we receive new information.

Prepared by: Lon Curtis


2:00 am Friday:

A very unsettled weather pattern will persist across the southern U.S. through the weekend, bringing us several more chances for rain and severe weather. About an hour ago, the Storm Prediction Center released updates to its severe weather outlooks for today (Friday):

... and tomorrow (Saturday):

Taking a closer look at the day one severe weather outlook (which forecasts the probability of severe weather today and tonight), you'll see that the southern edge of the slight risk area barely clips Hill County, which forms the northernmost edge of the KWTX viewing area:

It looks like there will be a pretty good chance for severe weather later today along and north of Interstate 20, including a significant risk for large hail and tornadoes in the Wichita Falls area. The Storm Prediction Center may upgrade that area to a moderate risk in subsequent outlooks issued later today. Even though the slight risk area does not include any part of Central Texas, it's close enough to give us some concern that an isolated thunderstorm or two may find its way into our area this afternoon or tonight.

The day two outlook includes the entire KWTX viewing area:

In its discussion, the Storm Prediction Center thinks we may remain "capped" through the afternoon hours on Saturday, which means thunderstorms may not develop in our area until Saturday evening. That's consistent with the most recent forecasts from our computer models. Once those storms do develop however, they'll likely become severe in a hurry. Large hail and tornadoes will be possible, especially during the evening hours on Saturday across west-central Texas.

During the overnight hours, the storms are likely to evolve into one or more thunderstorm complexes, which could mean another round of very heavy rain for parts of our area through early Sunday. The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (long name, huh?) is forecasting very heavy rainfall from North Texas through Arkansas and the Ohio River valley over the next three days. While that forecast doesn't show as much rain for Central Texas, it's very possible that any slow-moving thunderstorm complex (like the ones we saw earlier this week) could produce more flooding rains here locally.

The bottom line is that we could be in for another very active weekend here in Central Texas. Although it looks like your Saturday morning activities should be unaffected, you'll want to begin to keep an eye on the weather Saturday afternoon. As always, we'll be on the web and on the air to give you updates! -KC


7:00 pm Thursday:

With sunset now rapidly approaching, it's looking very unlikely we'll see any thunderstorms in our area this evening. It was sure nice to catch a break from the rain today, and it's likely most of us will stay rain-free tomorrow. One of our computer models wants to bring some showers and thunderstorms into our western counties tomorrow afternoon and evening, but that appears to be a fairly unlikely scenario. We'll let you know if that changes!

Unfortunately, it does not appear we'll be able to dodge the rain this weekend. The Storm Prediction Center is already forecasting a slight risk of severe thunderstorms in our area Saturday and Saturday night:

The Storm Prediction Center currently thinks large hail will be the biggest threat from these storms, but this time of year, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. It looks like the weather should be okay if you have outdoor plans Saturday morning, but you'll definitely want to keep an eye on the sky Saturday afternoon and evening. The stormy weather will likely continue into Sunday, which means we could once again see multi-inch rainfall totals across parts of our area. That could lead to more flooding, especially in those areas that got soaked with heavy rain earlier this week.

As always, keep checking KWTX.com and News 10 for the very latest updates!


3:55pm Thursday:

Although we are still monitoring radar and satellite trends, it's beginning to look like the warm air aloft (the "cap") will be too strong for storms to develop. However, given the very unstable nature of the atmosphere beneath the cap, any storm that can develop would intensify very quickly. The situation bears watching ... so we will.


1:20pm Thursday:

Lon Curtis here in the Doppler10 Live Forecast Center this Thursday afternoon. We're monitoring the weather situation closely as the atmosphere is potentially very unstable, and widely scattered thunderstorms could develop later this afternoon. This is one of those "iffy" situations, in the sense that we aren't sure that storms will develop in the News10 area, but we are reasonably certain that IF storms develop, they will intensify rapidly, possibly producing large hail and damaging winds. The winds at the surface and aloft aren't particularly favorable for tornadoes today, but given the powerful instability that may develop with afternoon heating, I won't turn my back on that possibility ... IF storms develop.


6:35pm Wednesday:

We're still watching and waiting for the possibility of storm development to our west and southwest. With each passing hour, that seems less likely to happen. A huge supercell thunderstorm that may be producing tornadoes is located northwest of Del Rio  moving southeast. That storm itself won't affect our area directly, but the shield of high cloudiness that is streaming across west central Texas from that storm is providing a "parasol", if you will, effectively blocking the afternoon sun from heating the low-level moist air that might otherwise have already developed into storms. A Tornado Watch remains in effect for southwest Texas, coming as close to our area as Menard County, southwest of San Saba. Other than that, a few light showers are streaming northward across Central Texas, producing only light rain amounts. We're still in a monitoring mode here.


3:50pm Wednesday:

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch that will be valid until 11pm tonight. The watch area comes as close to the News10 area as Johnson and Ellis counties, to our north. It does not include any counties in the News10 area! Doppler10 Live radar continues to show scattered light showers moving rapidly from south to north across Central Texas. Rainfall amounts have been mostly light. There is still a chance that thunderstorms may develop in portions of our area late this afternoon, or that a few storms may move into our area from the west during the evening. We will continue to monitor the situation, and keep you posted here.


2:40pm Wednesday:

Well, that didn't take long ... the Storm Prediction Center just issued another Tornado Watch for much of southwest Texas, coming as close to Central Texas as Junction and Menard. That watch is in effect until 10pm tonight. We'll continue to monitor things and provide updates here.


2:20pm Wednesday:

We continue monitoring conditions, both here in Central Texas, and elsewhere in areas west through north of our area. A large complex of thunderstorms is still located along the Red River north of the DFW Metroplex, producing flooding rainfall and occasional severe weather events (mainly hail). That storm complex continues moving east and will not affect our area. Severe thunderstorms have developed along and north of IH-20 near Abilene and are continuing to move toward the northeast. A Tornado Watch has been posted for this activity, and includes Erath County (Stephenville vicinity) until 8 pm this evening. Visible satellite imagery shows storms trying for develop along the dryline in southwest Texas near Fort Stockton. If storms develop in that area, an additional tornado watch will be needed for areas west of Central Texas, perhaps including a few of our western counties. We are monitoring that situation closely. Light to briefly moderate showers are occurring in some Central Texas counties beneath a layer of warm air located about 2 miles above ground. If that warm layer (called a "cap") erodes this afternoon, rapid thunderstorm development could occur in some of our area. Stay tuned!


12:30pm Wednesday:

Lon Curtis here in the Doppler10 Live Forecast Center, for what looks to be another active weather period later this afternoon and into the evening hours. The NWS Storm Prediction Center has placed all of the News10 counties in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms through tonight. At midday, strong to severe thunderstorms are occurring along the Red River north of the DFW Metroplex, with the storms mainly moving to the east. That will keep those storms away from our area. We'll be watching to see whether an outflow boundary develops and moves southward from that Red River storm complex. We currently doubt that that will happen, but we also know that there are a number of older boundaries left over from the storms of the past 24 hours, and we will watch to see if storms develop on those boundaries. Already, new storms are firing along IH-20 west of Abilene, and a few of those have already become severe. Those storms are moving to the northeast, and won't directly affect our area. Our primary focus later this afternoon will be on the area from San Angelo south to around Del Rio, because storms developing in that zone would move our way. Of course, we'll also be monitoring Doppler 10 Live radar in case storms develop locally. Stay tuned!

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