(September 30, 2008)--If John McCain is elected president and then wins a second term four years later, there's as much as a one-in-four chance his vice president will have to finish it, according to an Atlanta actuarial company.
Bragg Associates, which specializes in individualized estimates of life and health expectancy, calculated the odds of the 72-year-old McCain and 47-year-old Barack Obama dying in office, making adjustments for their known health problems.
The odds favor either of them completing a first term in good health, but, mainly because of his age, the odds of McCain dying or being in poor health increase faster than for Obama.
Actuaries make statistical calculations for insurance companies based on numbers culled from large databases, and as one put it, there's "a randomness to it that we don't know."
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