From Sean Bellafiore:
The trend of warm and muggy mornings continues again tonight as temperatures by Friday morning only fall into the lower and middle 60s with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Although clouds will linger for much of Thursday morning, expect to see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies Thursday afternoon as high temperatures climb into the lower and middle 80s.
After Thursday, all eyes turn to our next series of storm systems that will approach Central Texas. The first storm system moves into the Panhandle late Thursday and arrives in Central Texas Friday morning as a line of showers and thunderstorms. Because the line of showers and thunderstorms will likely arrive near sunrise Friday, the atmosphere may not be unstable enough for strong thunderstorms west of I-35. Areas west of I-35 should still expect locally heavy rain with the line and possibly a strong thunderstorm or two. Behind the line, skies should slowly clear Friday afternoon.
For areas near and east of I-35, Friday's line of showers and thunderstorms will slowly push eastward, possibly allowing for the atmosphere to destabilize. Friday's storms arrives near I-35 during the late morning hours and should enter our eastern counties in the afternoon. With storms arriving later in the day, severe weather chances will be highest east of I-35, but it important to note severe weather is NOT guaranteed Friday and severe storm chances are low. Strong wind gusts will be the primary threat with Friday's storms, however some hail or even an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Rain Friday should cross I-45 and exit Central Texas before sunset.
A gorgeous day is in the forecast Saturday as highs climb into the upper 70s and lower 80s with mostly sunny skies. Most of Sunday will remain dry with highs in the middle 80s, but another storm system may spark more thunderstorms. The greatest chance for severe weather will likely be near and north of the Metroplex, but a sharpening dryline will need to be monitored for isolated strong thunderstorm development near and west of I-35. As of now, storm chances are near 40% Sunday. If thunderstorms form Sunday in Central Texas, all modes of severe weather will be possible, including strong wind gusts, large hail, and tornadoes. Confidence in thunderstorms forming Sunday is low at the current time, but if storms form they will likely have a better chance of producing severe weather as compared to Friday.
The weather pattern will remain quite active for the foreseeable future as another storm system is set to arrive in Central Texas for the middle of next week, possibly bringing more severe thunderstorm chances to our area. As of now, next week's mid-week storm system looks to provide good rain chances and low severe thunderstorm chances; this, of course, will continue to be monitored. If 3 chances for severe weather isn't enough for you, long range model data hints that another round of storms may fire up next weekend, marking potentially four chances for severe in eight days time.