A strong front swings through Friday and brings Central Texas a week-long chill
WACO, Texas (KWTX) - There’s no doubt that November can occasionally feature chilly weather, but a cold front swinging through on Veterans Day is set to drop temperatures well below average for around a week and maybe even longer! While record temperatures likely won’t be set, Central Texas is set to experience the coldest temperatures since March.
You won’t need a parka, but sweater and coat weather is coming back
A large area of cold air is currently pooling across the Pacific Northwest and Big Sky Country and will surge across the Central and Eastern U.S. over the next few days. The core of this cold air mass is going to be more focused on the Eastern U.S., but it’s expansive enough to bring us the chill.
As is fairly typical for this time of year, Friday’s cold front will blast through, drop temperatures, and keep us chilly for a few days. Instead of the cold air moving out after a few days, the refrigerator door (so to speak) to the north will be open for a few days and allow multiple shots of reinforcing colder air to move in.
High temperatures are expected to remain in the mid-to-upper 50s from Saturday through at least next Friday, which is when our 32nd Annual Food For Families Food Drive takes place, while morning temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 30s and low 40s from Saturday morning through at least next Friday morning. The one exception to our morning temperatures may be Sunday morning. We may get just enough clearing overnight to allow some spots to dip into the low-to-mid 30s! We won’t see a hard freeze, but many rural and low lying locations, especially west of I-35, could see the first freeze of the year.
Another reason for the long lasting chill will be moisture in the atmosphere. Cold air will be in place, but the sub-tropical jet stream will continue to pump moisture into the upper atmosphere. Instead of seeing clear skies and sunshine every day, which would steadily warm temperatures, we’re expecting at least partly cloudy skies every day from Friday through at least next Friday. While this will keep the chill locked in longer, the extra clouds will help to keep morning lows warmer than what they would be without the clouds.
Cold rain is possible at least two days, but wintry weather is highly unlikely
No one wants a repeat of February 2021′s or February 2022′s wintry weather and thankfully it doesn’t look like we will receive any wintry precipitation. That’s great news, of course, but we’re still forecasting two raw days with gusty winds, occasional rain, and of course those colder temperatures.
The first chance for rain arrives Friday as the front moves in and even well behind the front. Veterans Day parades, especially ones starting close to lunch time and in the afternoon, could be impacted by the rain. Some scattered rain will be around as the front passes through, but most of the frontal boundary rain will be near and east of I-35. Scattered rain, including with some downpours and maybe even small hail, will be around from mid-morning Friday through the afternoon. No one location has a higher chance for rain Friday than another, so the rain will be very much hit or miss. Rain chances are currently near 50%.
The next round of rain could arrive with a second frontal boundary coming through Monday. We’re still a bit too far away for specifics on this storm system, however some locally heavy rain could move through. The heaviest rain may actually come in North Texas with some wintry weather possible on the other side of the Red River.
Rainfall totals shouldn’t be very high from these rounds of rain. We’re forecasting between a quarter-inch and half-inch of rain, but locally heavy downpours could bump isolated totals to or even over one inch.
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