WACO, Texas (KWTX) While a College Football Playoff appearance isn't impossible to attain, it's hard not to imagine just how close the Baylor Bears would be had they held onto a 25-point lead three weeks ago against a team they're trying to leapfrog this week.
Baylor (11-1) is now No. 7 in the newest CFP rankings released Tuesday night.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF RANKINGS (Dec. 3)
1. Ohio State (12-0)
2. LSU (12-0)
3. Clemson (12-0)
4. Georgia (11-1)
5. Utah (11-1)
6. Oklahoma (11-1)
7. Baylor (11-1)
8. Wisconsin (10-2)
9. Florida (10-2)
10. Penn State (10-2)
Baylor's best chance to claim the fourth and final CFP spot will include three scenarios that must happen: Baylor defeats Oklahoma (11 a.m. Saturday), LSU defeats Georgia (3 p.m. Saturday on KWTX-CBS), and Oregon defeats Utah (7 p.m. Saturday).
The Bears hopping over Oklahoma, Utah and Georgia seems likely if those three results came to fruition, mainly because Baylor would have one fewer loss than all of them.
But what if the only result in that scenario that changed was Utah beating No. 13 Oregon? The CFP committee would then have to decide if Baylor's win over No. 6 Oklahoma would weigh more than the Utes' win over the Ducks.
Utah's lone loss this season came against USC -- a team that was unranked at the time but has since climbed to No. 22 in the latest rankings.
Baylor's sole defeat came against Oklahoma in mid-November when the Sooners were ranked No. 10.
If the Bears lose to the Sooners, it's possible to still have a Sugar Bowl appearance on New Year's Day. The only way that happens is if Oklahoma earns the final playoff spot.